Virginia’s presidential runoff election has been called for Monday, and it’s a close call between Democrat Ralph Northam and Republican Ed Gillespie.
Northam has led by 2.6 million votes to Gillespie’s 1.6.
He is also the clear favorite to win.
This is not going to be a cakewalk.
The race is tight, with polls showing the race in Northam’s favor.
While it could easily go either way, it’s likely Gillespie will win Virginia’s 6th Congressional District, the seat formerly held by Ed Gillespie, the former Virginia Attorney General.
Northamer is in the midst of a massive fundraising effort and has the backing of major Republican donors.
This race has been going on for almost two months, with Gillespie leading in national polls.
Northame is currently the frontrunner and the only Democrat who can realistically win.
In the past, Virginia’s gubernatorial election has seen a number of runoff races come down to a few hundred thousand votes.
In Virginia’s 2014 election, there were two such races.
The first, in the Democratic-leaning Richmond district, saw Republican Danica Roem lose to Democrat Tim Kaine by just 537,000 votes.
The second, in a Republican-leaning district in the northern part of the state, saw Democrat Ed Gillespie win by a landslide of 746,000.
Both of these races were decided by fewer than 50,000 ballots.
The Richmond runoff was a close race in the general election and has been trending in Gillespie’s favor ever since.
However, this time around, there are a number factors that have been taking their toll on Gillespie.
The Richmond race was the first in the state to feature a runoff between two of the most polarizing Republicans in the country.
Gillespie has spent more time on the campaign trail than Northam, and Northam was able to capitalize on this by running a very negative campaign that was fueled by false claims about the Richmond race and its outcome.
Gillespie’s campaign has also been heavily focused on the negative narrative that Northam had brought to the campaign.
While there were a number media outlets who ran false stories about the race, Northam only came under scrutiny after he appeared on Fox News on Tuesday morning and claimed that Northamp was a “dirty, racist, misogynist” candidate.
He went on to call Northam a “bigot.”
He also referred to Northam as a “serial liar” and a “shill.”
Despite this, Northamer was able on Monday to garner a substantial fundraising advantage in the race.
In addition to the $1.6 billion in outside spending he’s spent on the race alone, Northams campaign has been able to use an array of other fundraising tools to try and win over Democrats.
In his speech, Northamar said he would be able to raise $100 million from the state’s wealthy and corporate elite, which is what the Republican Party has traditionally relied on for support.
He also said he will have the money to spend on television ads and in-person events.
It’s worth noting that the Richmond district was the only district in which Gillespie did not have the resources to field a fully staffed field operation.
He was able, however, to field some key surrogates.
For example, Ed Gillespie has been using former President Donald Trump, former Governor Mike Pence, and former Governor Ralph Northame.
While these surrogates may not be the full complement of his campaign, they are key to helping Northam win the election.
The next step for Northam is the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC), which is holding a fundraising event in the Richmond area.
That event will take place at the home of Northam family friend, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.
In an effort to ensure that Kaine and the DCCC do not miss out on any money, Northame and the DNC are asking the state party to send $50,000 in advance donations to the Northam campaign for his fundraising efforts.
The party has yet to respond to this request.
The campaign will also need to continue to fund the Northams campaigns primary and general election advertising.
As the campaign continues to ramp up, it will likely be the focus of outside interest groups.
This will be a key campaign in Virginia’s upcoming 2018 midterm elections.